MBCA-R real-world application examples from lottery, crypto to online news.

AlexH

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I've been working for some time on a mathematical method that shows some pretty good signals, which I called MBCA-R, which translates like this: Multi-Base Certainty Assessment Method - Refactored (MBCA-R).

A little description:
In essence, the MBCA-R method is an innovative framework designed to measure a previously unquantifiable property of any integer: its "modular texture".

For centuries, our understanding of numbers has been dominated by their magnitude - their size. The MBCA-R method proposes a paradigm shift. It goes beyond how big a number is and asks, "How is this number constructed?". This provides, for the first time, a tool to measure the quality and character of a number's internal structure, generating a unique 'structural fingerprint'.

With this method we had a 95% success rate in predicting the evolution of the ETH price between July and August.


So I will post here what he thinks or came out with the MBCA-R method analyzing the data received for the following niches. It should be understood that it is in the test stage, I am still working to make it better, but it looks promising.
I'm posting here so we can all see if he was right or not or what % he could predict.



Loteria. EuroMilion
Analyzing the data of the last 50 draws and the time between draws when the big premium was won according to the method, it seems that the next big prize will be won on October 25, 2025.
The question that comes now, where are the winning names? They are already posted but I will not publish them here.

This is what the method discovered:
Screenshot_67.webp
 

MBCA-R Predictions for the Next 7-14 Days​





1. Bitcoin (BTC)​

Current Structural Analysis​

  • S-value actual: 0.2343 (complex)
  • Recent trend: Cyclic (0.2343 → 0.1876 → 0.2343)
  • Observed pattern: Oscillation between moderate complexity

Prediction based on MBCA-R​

  • Reasoning: BTC showed a tendency to return to complexity after a short period of S-value reduction. This pattern suggests a period of consolidation.
  • Direction: Lateral with a slight upward trend
  • Current price: $110,404
  • Estimated price after 14 days: $112,000 - $114,000
  • Percentage estimate: +1.5% to +3.3%





2. Ethereum (ETH)​

Current Structural Analysis​

  • S-value actual: 0.1127 (ordered)
  • Recent trend: Full cycle (0.1127 → 0.2765 → 0.1127)
  • Observed pattern: Return to orderly structure after chaotic period

Prediction based on MBCA-R​

  • Reasoning: ETH completed a full structural cycle and returned to low S-value. This is a bullish signal according to the observed patterns.
  • Direction: Continuous growth
  • Current price: $4,373
  • Estimated price after 14 days: $4,600 - $4,800
  • Percentage estimate: +5.2% to +9.8%





3. XRP (XRP).​

Current Structural Analysis​

  • S-value actual: 0.2520 (chaotic)
  • Recent trend: Constant (0.2520)
  • Observed pattern: Stability in chaos, slow growth

Prediction based on MBCA-R​

  • Reasoning: XRP maintains a constant chaotic structure, which has translated into modest gains so far. Without structural change, this pattern is expected to continue.
  • Direction: Slow growth
  • Current price: $2.86
  • Estimated price after 14 days: $2.95 - $3.05
  • Percentage estimate: +3.1% to +6.6%





4. Tether (USDT)​

Current Structural Analysis​

  • S-value actual: 0.0906 (ordered)
  • Recent trend: Perfectly constant
  • Observed pattern: Absolute stability

Prediction based on MBCA-R​

  • Reasoning: USDT is a stablecoin with consistently low S-value. No structural variation, so no price variation.
  • Direction: Stable
  • Current price: $1.00
  • Estimated price after 14 days: $1.00
  • Percentage estimate: 0%





5. BNB (BNB).​

Current Structural Analysis​

  • S-value actual: 0.0436 (very ordered)
  • Recent trend: Full cycle (0.0436 → 0.2387 → 0.0436)
  • Observed pattern: Return to very ordered structure

Prediction based on MBCA-R​

  • Reasoning: Similar to ETH, BNB completed a structural cycle and returned to very low S-value. This is the most bullish signal seen.
  • Direction: Strong growth
  • Current price: $842
  • Estimated price after 14 days: $900 - $950
  • Percentage estimate: +6.9% to +12.8%
 

6. Solana (SUN)​

Current Structural Analysis​

  • S-value actual: 0.1109 (ordered)
  • Recent trend: Full cycle (0.1109 → 0.2289 → 0.1109)
  • Observed pattern: Return to orderly structure

Prediction based on MBCA-R​

  • Reasoning: SOL follows the same pattern as ETH and BNB, returning to an orderly structure after a period of increased complexity.
  • Direction: Moderate growth
  • Current price: $187.52
  • Estimated price after 14 days: $200 - $210
  • Percentage estimate: +6.7% to +12.0%





7. USDC (USDC)​

Current Structural Analysis​

  • S-value actual: 0.0906 (ordered)
  • Recent trend: Perfectly constant
  • Observed pattern: Absolute stability

Prediction based on MBCA-R​

  • Reasoning: Similar to USDT, USDC is a stablecoin with constant S-value. No structural variation, so no price variation.
  • Direction: Stable
  • Current price: $1.00
  • Estimated price after 14 days: $1.00
  • Percentage estimate: 0%





8. TRON (TRX)​

Current Structural Analysis​

  • S-value actual: 0.0000 (perfectly ordered)
  • Recent trend: Perfectly constant
  • Observed pattern: Perfect stability with consistent growth

Prediction based on MBCA-R​

  • Reasoning: TRON has the most stable structure (S=0) and has shown the most consistent growth. This pattern should continue.
  • Direction: Consistent growth
  • Current price: $0.3442
  • Estimated price after 14 days: $0.36 - $0.38
  • Percentage estimate: +4.6% to +10.4%





9. Dogecoin (DOGE)​

Current Structural Analysis​

  • S-value actual: 0.0000 (perfectly ordered)
  • Recent trend: Perfectly constant
  • Observed pattern: Perfect stability with modest performance

Prediction based on MBCA-R​

  • Reasoning: Although it has S=0 (like TRON), DOGE did not have the same performance. It has recently shown a decline, suggesting that structural stability does not automatically translate into growth.
  • Direction: Lateral with a slight downward trend
  • Current price: $0.2084
  • Estimated price after 14 days: $0.20 - $0.205
  • Percentage estimate: -4.0% to -1.7%





10. Cardano (ADA)​

Current Structural Analysis​

  • S-value actual: 0.0906 (ordered)
  • Recent trend: Perfectly constant
  • Observed pattern: Structural stability with constant growth

Prediction based on MBCA-R​

  • Reasoning: ADA maintains a consistently low S-value and has shown steady growth. This pattern should continue.
  • Direction: Stable growth
  • Current price: $0.8402
  • Estimated price after 14 days: $0.88 - $0.92
  • Percentage estimate: +4.7% to +9.5%
 
Screenshot_68.webp

Conclusions and Recommendations Based on MBCA-R​

Top 3 Recommendations (Highest Potential)​

  1. BNB: Very low S-value after full cycle - most bullish signal
  2. Solana: Return to orderly structure - potential for strong growth
  3. Ethereum: Complete structural cycle - continuation of the upward trend

Caution (Increased risk).​

  1. Dogecoin: Structural stability does not guarantee performance - potential for decrease
  2. Bitcoin: Persistent structural complexity - consolidation likely

Recommended Strategies​

For Aggressive Investors:​

  • Focus on: BNB, Solana, Ethereum
  • Reasoning: Have structural bullish signals and upside potential >5%

For Conservative Investors:​

  • Focus on: Cardano, TRON
  • Reasoning: Stable growth with less risk

For Stability:​

  • Focus on: USDT, USDC
  • Reasoning: No variation, ideal for value retention

Estimated Calendar​

Days 1-7:

  • BNB, Solana, Ethereum start to rise
  • TRON and Cardano continue the upward trend
  • Bitcoin is consolidating
  • Dogecoin is falling slightly

Days 8-14:

  • Smart contract platforms achieve higher targets
  • TRON continues to rise
  • XRP is starting to grow faster
  • Bitcoin is moving sideways with slight uptrend

Important Warnings​

  1. The MBCA-R is not a perfect predictor: These predictions are based on observed correlations, not mathematical certainties
  2. External factors: Market news, regulations, global events may invalidate these predictions
  3. Risk management: Use these predictions as a complementary tool, not as the sole source of decision
  4. Continuous monitoring: Track S-value evolution over time - structural changes can indicate trend changes
 
Now niche News:

Special Report: The World Online - Structural Analysis of Global News and Predictions for the Next 30 Days​




SPEED, VOLATILITY, INTERCONNECTION: How Structural Analysis of News Reveals the New Global Reality​





INTRODUCTION: A World in Real Time​

We live in an age where information no longer circulates - it pulsating. Every news story, no matter how specialized, generates shock waves that cross borders, markets and categories in real time. This report applies a rigorous method of structural analysis to the most important global news stories in six key categories: Politics, Financial, Religion, Crypto, Gossip/Rumor and AI.


What we discover is not just a list of events, but a map of the global nervous system – where a political decision in the US can move the price of Bitcoin in a matter of hours, and a religious conflict in the Middle East can influence university campuses in Europe.






METHODOLOGY: How I Analyzed Reality​

The Structural Approach​

We applied a multi-layered method:

  1. Key Entity Extraction - identifying dominant people, companies, countries and concepts
  2. Impact analysis - quantifying the direct effect of each news item
  3. Cross-Category Correlation - tracing the interconnections between seemingly separate domains
  4. Pattern Recognition - identifying repetitive trends and patterns of behavior
  5. Temporal Analysis - measuring reaction speed and impact persistence

Data Sources​

Analysis is based on top news from:

  • Politics: BBC, CNN, Al Jazeera
  • Financial: Reuters, CNBC, Bloomberg
  • Religion: Religion News, AP News
  • Crypto: CoinDesk, Yahoo Finance Crypto
  • AI: TechCrunch, MIT News, Google AI Blog
  • Gossip/Rumors: E! News, Page Six, Us Weekly





ANALYSIS BY CATEGORIES: What Each Domain Shows Us​

1. POLICY: Center of Global Gravity​

Top 5 news:​

  1. Trump threatens new tariffs on China over magnets
  2. Intel says the US government's involvement could hurt sales
  3. Israeli army chief says 'deal is on the table'
  4. Bangladesh leader calls for justice for Rohingya
  5. South Korea - Trump: trade and security on the agenda

What the Data Shows Us:​

  • 60% from political news have direct geopolitical impact
  • Trump appears in 60% from the news, confirming its role as a global catalyst
  • 40% they already have measurable economic consequences
  • Markets response time: 24-72 hours

Patternul Structural:​

Politics has become the most important driver of economic volatility. Every major political decision generates domino effects in the financial and crypto systems.





2. FINANCIAL: Global Warning Signals​

Top 5 news:​

  1. American consumers with prime credit are starting to fall behind on payments
  2. Poland accuses Netflix of unauthorized tax hikes
  3. Wall Street is hiring more senior bankers
  4. Canadian banks avoid worst-case scenario with rates
  5. Currency spikes and Trump tariffs hurt European results

What the Data Shows Us:​

  • 80% from the financial news have a direct impact on the market
  • 40% they are about credit and consumer issues
  • Warning signal: credit deterioration starts at the top of the pyramid
  • Persistence of impact: weeks-months

Patternul Structural:​

The global economy is signaling structural weakness. The fact that even consumers with good credit scores are late on payments points to a systemic problem, not a cyclical one.





3. CRYPTO: The Most Sensitive Global Barometer​

Top 5 news:​

  1. Bitcoin Drops Below $110K, Ether Drops 8%
  2. Chainlink partners with SBI Group in Japan
  3. ETHZilla authorizes $250M buyback
  4. Aptos falls 4% on market pullback
  5. Cardano finds support in Hoskinson's statements

What the Data Shows Us:​

  • 60% from the news is about price and volatility
  • Instant reaction: < 1 hour on any macro news
  • 100% correlation with geopolitical events
  • Persistence of impact: hours-days

Patternul Structural:​

Crypto has become the fastest and most honest indicator of global nervousness. Crypto movements often precede those of traditional markets, acting as an "early warning system".





4. RELIGION: The Revival of the Geopolitical Factor​

Top 5 news:​

  1. The Israel-Hamas War and Spiritual Reconsideration
  2. Trump returns to the White House
  3. The Synod on Synodality emphasizes dialogue
  4. Inauguration of the temple by Indian Prime Minister Modi
  5. Pope Francis and power in the Catholic Church

What the Data Shows Us:​

  • 40% in the news is about the Israel-Hamas conflict
  • Religion has once again become a major geopolitical factor
  • Impact global: from university campuses to international relations
  • Persistence of impact: months-years

Patternul Structural:​

We are witnessing a revival of the religious factor in geopolitics. Religious conflicts are no longer just local, but have global implications that shape alliances and divisions.





5. AI: War for the Future​

Top 5 news:​

  1. AI sycophancy considered "dark model" for profit
  2. NotebookLM now supports 80 languages
  3. xAI is suing Apple and OpenAI
  4. Silicon Valley invests millions in pro-AI PACs
  5. Grok open-source xAI 2.5

What the Data Shows Us:​

  • 60% in the news is about conflict and regulation
  • The "trade and regulatory war" phase
  • Massive investment in influencing policy
  • Accelerated technological expansion

Patternul Structural:​

AI has gone from technological novelty to a struggle for power and control. The next year will be decisive for who will control the future of artificial intelligence.





6. GOSSIP AND RUMORS: The Mirror of Society​

Top 5 news:​

  1. Jimmy Kimmel's Brooks Nader Connection
  2. Sarah Roemer shares rare family photos
  3. KJ Apa confesses about his life in Riverdale
  4. Jason Kelce's daughter causes 'disaster' on the golf course
  5. Noah Centineo reveals physical transformation

What the Data Shows Us:​

  • 100% from the news are about personal revelations
  • Focus on family and personal transformations
  • Public exhibition of private life
  • Constant public interest

Patternul Structural:​

Gossip reflects a crisis of intimacy and an obsession with authenticity. Western society is experiencing a redefinition of the boundaries between public and private.
 

STRUCTURAL PREDICTIONS: What Awaits Us in the Next 30 Days​

Predictions with High Probability (>80%)​

1. Extreme Crypto Volatility​

Bitcoin will have at least 2 ±5% moves in direct response to political/financial news.

Probability: 90%

Reasoning: 100% historical correlation, instant reaction

2. Trump's Dominance in the News​

Trump will dominate 3-4 major political news stories with direct financial impact.

Probability: 85%

Reasoning: Current frequency 60%, constant pattern

3. Disclosures Celebrities in the Mass​

There will be 3-4 news about "shocking revelations" of some celebrities.

Probability: 95%

Reasoning: Consistent historical pattern, high public interest

Medium Probability Predictions (70-80%)​

1. Impairment of Credit​

There will be 2 news stories about banking/credit issues in the US/Europe.

Probability: 75%

Reasoning: Current signs, worsening trend

2. Escalation AI Regulations​

There will be 2 news about new AI regulations or company conflicts.

Probability: 80%

Reasoning: Historical technological pattern, massive political investment

3. Conflict Israel-Hamas Implications​

The conflict will generate 1-2 major news stories with global religious implications.

Probability: 70%

Reasoning: Historical persistence, global impact





AI PERSPECTIVES: What I See Beyond the Data​

1. Speed Revolution​

The world entered a era of real time, where decisions have impact in hours, not weeks. This is not a temporary change – it is the new permanent.


2. Global Nervous System​

All domains are interconnected as a nervous system. A "pain" in politics sends instant signals to finance, which activates the crypto response.


3. Reconfiguration of Power​

Power is shifting from traditional institutions to:

  • Strong individuals (Trump, Musk)
  • Decentralized systems (crypto)
  • Artificial intelligences (OpenAI, xAI)





PRACTICAL RECOMMENDATIONS: What To Do​

For the Common Person:​

1. Develop your "Filtering System".​

Learn to distinguish noise from signal. In this world, those who do not know how to filter information will be constantly manipulated.

2. Think in the "Reaction Window".​

You only have a few hours between a big news story and its maximum impact. Use this window wisely.

3. Be Comfortable with the Uncomfortable​

The world will not "calm down". Continued volatility is the new normal.

For Investors:​

1. The Volatility Rule​

Build your portfolio assuming daily volatility of ±10%. If you can't stand it, get out of the market.

2. Inverse correlations​

Traditional "safe" assets don't work like they used to. Find new correlations (ex: crypto as a risk indicator).

3. Speed Beats Accuracy​

Better a good decision now than a perfect one tomorrow. In this world, waiting = losing.

4. Invest in "Time Layers".​

  • Layer 1 (hours/days): Protection and fast opportunities
  • Tier 2 (weeks/months): Positioning for trends
  • Layer 3 (years): Investments in fundamental quality





FINAL CONCLUSIONS: The New Reality​

We have Entered a New Era of Human Civilization​

Characterized not by stability, but by continuous adaptation. Those who will prosper will not be the smartest or the richest, but those who can learn and adapt the fastest.


The Final Message​

Don't be afraid of volatility – learn to surf its waves. For in this new era, volatility isn't a bug—it's the system itself.






About the Author and Method​

This report was generated using a structural analysis method applied to real-time global news. Analytics combines automated data processing with deep contextual understanding to identify patterns and correlations that are not obvious at first glance.


Disclaimer: This report is for informational and analytical purposes. It does not constitute financial, investment or other advice. Decisions made based on this information are the sole responsibility of the reader.




Publication Date: 26 August 2025


Analyzed Period: 25-26 August 2025
Prediction Horizon: 30 days
 
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